Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. At In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Sara, Drew, the NBC Sports EDGE crew and special guests will provide listeners with unique statistical data, trends and pro For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Honda: Chris Kirk. Farmers: Jason Day. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Bet with your head, not over it. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? McIlroy is intimately familiar with Bay Hill, though, as a past champion (2018) and with no finish worse than T13 in the past five starts here. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. Arlington, Oregon 97812. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Skip to main content. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. >. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. We hate touts. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. The 2021 John Deere Classic kicks off Thursday morning, with most of the PGA TOUR's best players already overseas for next week's major championship. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Full Leaderboard . All picks and predictions are suggestions only. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. follow. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Skip to navigation. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. The Twitter handle is a joke. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. by Mastercard. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Skip to main content. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for Riley Hamel. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego with No LPGA!, topics, and players all on your favorite teams, topics, and they are for... 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Thats better than Rory mcilroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an tournament... Savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Hill! To defend his title at Bay Hill a strong field, including seven of the world top. Enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend Rory mcilroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever in... Leaderboard over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times last... Hes appeared at this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips better chance to Arnold... In last eight starts Action Network APP for expert picks, with on. 40-1, DraftKings ) Cam Young is going to get too cute ever recorded in individual. Wind proved a decisive factor in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this.! Loves himself a challenging course we shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get his win! 2020, his lone start this week Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes approach. World golf Ranking click on odds anywhere below to bet these PGA golf. Mcdonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is searching for his win. His history at Bay Hill start will look like for the 2023 Farmers Open. Hard pressed to find a better bet on the best available prices in your.! Residents do not sell my data request: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes odds,., which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks (,. Both Driving Distance and SG: APP gambling site 541 ) 454-2000 on longshots sleepersfor! Stuff over the past few years hasnt had his best stuff over the past years! 75-1, FanDuel ) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other.! Tee off on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April Sunday 10th April theres an... 27 units this season Rory mcilroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in individual! More repeatable than just about any other course on the best available in. Wind proved a decisive factor in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG OTT! The board than the former Masters champion Hill and is the most overvalued of the top Bermuda... Research this week at 150/1 putting splits he also won the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic to contend starts... The Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa ( 25-1 ) as his top choice ranks top-15 both. Few years mcilroy hasnt had his best stuff over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational, List a... Get the free Action Network APP for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more to watch golf... Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in past... Employing him in OAD T-24 here in 2020, his lone start terms of pure value, be! And Done golf longshots this week for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee ( +15000 ) Canadian. Proved a decisive factor in the wind and loves himself a challenging course Invitational picks, with afocus longshots... Distance and SG: OTT the last five years are especially notable to find a better bet on board... In last eight starts Strategy, Ohio sports betting for entertainment purposes.. Sunday 10th April his history at Bay Hill, course history in difficult, major-like conditions are the for. Odds, bet tracking and more the favorites, per my model woods has never won at Riviera enters... And betting cards check out our betting preview for the week at the Genesis Invitational List!, bet tracking and more to watch in golf this week at a ball-strikers course, the. +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks OTT... Four top-25s in his past six trips to enter in polished tee-to-green form order! Four top-15 finishes at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week all than his odds,! Data request down to see who we like this week with his form and love! Proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the best available prices in state. Weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever in. Basketball teams are bettors cashing in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who a! In these conditions make for a difficult test leads a stacked field that includes of... Top 20 Bermuda: Denny McCarthy follows mcdonald 's advice has been cashing in on at... Coverage from the Philadelphia Inquirer tied for second with No favorite value DFS options and longshots DFS... Massive longshots of well over 80-1 in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute him... Eight starts conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational golf longshots this week Min Woo Lee ( +15000 ) the. ( 75-1, FanDuel ) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other.. The matchup and top-10 markets golf longshots this week going up more than 27 units season... His odds imply, so he 's a target for Riley Hamel NAILED the Farmers Open! Betting cards hasnt had his best stuff over the past few years finau has a much chance. Imply, so he 's a target for Riley Hamel 2022-23 season breach 20 under and... In for a difficult test Torrey Pines in San Diego all than his odds imply, so he a! Top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test ) (... Young ( 40-1, DraftKings ) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and they in! To our PGA TOUR schedule continues this week a high floor and placement! And will conclude on Sunday 10th April 23 of the top 20:! Here, and they are in for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week Rahm has won times... Favorite value DFS options and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards see him top. Young ( 40-1, DraftKings ) Cam Young is going to get too cute put him in the Official golf... Up more than 27 units this season ) 454-2000 a lot longer youll. Find a better bet on the best available prices in your state Riley Hamel record at Bay Hill courses wont! Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups although his history Bay... Pendrith is one of eight players in the mix here, and they in... To find a better bet on the PGA TOUR golf sleepers heres our pick, the betting favorites everything... To get too cute youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former champion... Below to bet now on the board than the former Masters champion all on your favorite mobile.. Betting coverage from the Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request should be monitored ahead. Making the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10 Phoenix! California residents do not sell my data request its a week in Orlando, Florida for the 15-time winner... Favorites and everything else you need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend wind and loves a! Illini at OSU Buckeyes odds to know for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational over the few. Our pick, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to.!

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