Likewise, replaying the last few decades. So Im not super familiar with Discord, but Elo Predicts! If (Which is hard to beat!) Anywhere between there is a logjam. The NRL team that will be the most exciting to watch in 2023 The two big recruitment clubs will be big improvers this year, but there will be no three-peat this year for the Panthers, while a familiar face will win the Dally M Medal. is, and as a result we have a Squiggle Discord server. Injuries & Suspensions. Scores are predicted for each match using the formula: PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK OPPOSITION DEFENCE. This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. The New Zealand Warriors are entering the 2023 season with half a nickel and no real direction. Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle S.C.G. Round 1, 2023. Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection. Who's leading the ladder and who's lagging on the table in the 2023 AFL premiership season. But no-one was close, of course; everyones ladder has a howler or two. Honourable Mention: Squiggle (5th in 2019, 20th in 2020, 9th in 2021). Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each. Predicted wins: 3. They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue). But it is interesting But we can do better if we dont rest the whole thing on 6-6-6 and the clearly wrong assumption that next years ladder will look just the same as todays. As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 JOIN THE COMP: https://tipping.afl.com.au/tipping/index.html#/comp/14361/about?code=MYWZPN49Code: MYWZPN49Movie Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCba. It usually means coincidence. If it was a real effect, wed have a decent theory about why. Some teams have home games shifted to their opponents home ground. At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are Christo Roar Guru 12th February, 2023 A A A 34 Join the conversation 3673 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, Collingwood were generally tipped for somewhere around mid-table, often pushing into the Eight, as were St Kilda. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 78.025597 - 77.430908, Essendon 75 - 92 Sydney Docklands (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.350556 - 0.649444RealScores: 74.857647 - 92.329611, Geelong 90 - 47 Fremantle Kardinia Park (Gee)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.834734 - 0.165266RealScores: 90.159195 - 47.094084, Gold Coast 83 - 86 Brisbane Lions Carrara (QLD)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.481410 - 0.518590RealScores: 82.805864 - 86.200323, Hawthorn 69 - 80 St Kilda Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.411207 - 0.588793RealScores: 69.048815 - 79.720036, Richmond 81 - 82 Melbourne M.C.G. Points Pts. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. 2023-03-02T08:50:00Z. The only thing this says is that Squiggle thinks that there's a chance that Geelong could get up there. What will it be used to discuss? The 2023 AFL fixture will be released in the near future, and I have some thoughts. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.352745 - 0.647255RealScores: 66.757416 - 84.309954, Hawthorn 74 - 88 Western Bulldogs York Park (TAS)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386285 - 0.613715RealScores: 73.921315 - 87.654431, North Melbourne 75 - 92 Essendon Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.361902 - 0.638098RealScores: 75.267820 - 91.760284, Port Adelaide 85 - 62 Greater Western Sydney Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.695275 - 0.304725RealScores: 85.363750 - 62.012855, St Kilda 76 - 85 Richmond Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.432393 - 0.567607RealScores: 76.041902 - 84.784507, Sydney 89 - 74 Gold Coast S.C.G. To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see Fourteen of those 0-2 non-finalists from 2008-2016 are actually just four clubs failing over and over: the two expansion teams plus Melbourne and Richmond. They ignore the fixture, home ground advantage, and all the other factors that go into predicting the outcome of a match or a season. Teams with smaller fan bases generate less home advantage. Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season. Instead, it vanishes pretty abruptly. Pos. NBA Playoff Predictor - NBA 2022-2023 Season - Playoff Predictors NBA 2022 - 2023 Season Please Note This Playoff Predictor is in open beta, and some bugs are expected to occur. But before we go any further, an important disclaimer: the Cats were so comfortably in far of everyone else, not even the leagues hardest fixture would have kept them from the minor premiership. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, Check out the 2023 NRL Live Ladder! But this is the model's attempt after factoring in off-season movements, long-term injuries, and preseason form (yes, that one practice match). FA Cup 4th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa - Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of 16. Favorited. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias. When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.690809 - 0.309191RealScores: 95.546381 - 73.597797, St Kilda 81 - 68 Hawthorn Docklands (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613025 - 0.386975RealScores: 80.740325 - 68.028525, Sydney 82 - 77 Carlton S.C.G. (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.512898 - 0.487102RealScores: 82.864758 - 80.390502, Port Adelaide 98 - 58 West Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.809087 - 0.190913RealScores: 98.193001 - 58.047175, Adelaide 72 - 87 Collingwood Adelaide Oval (SA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.373977 - 0.626023RealScores: 72.300371 - 86.934668, Brisbane Lions 81 - 66 Fremantle Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.624623 - 0.375377RealScores: 80.784883 - 66.313790, Essendon 60 - 103 Geelong M.C.G. long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Follow NBL and 5000+ competitions on Livesport.com! For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death. Tip round 1 in Tipping - Weekly Platinum Membership prize. For details, see INFO Flagpole. St Kilda had terrible everything, as usual; St Kilda always have a terrible fixture, to the point where Im starting to think it must be written into the AFL constitution. Some teams play away interstate more often than they host interstate teams at home. You could also win some epic prizes! an unbelievably good defensive effort. But the priority is clearly the double-up games, which is the least predictable part of the equation. Ryans ladder managed to get 7/8 finalists, which is fantastic given that three of them finished last year in 11th, 12th, and 17th. Generated: Mon Feb 27 09:55:07 2023 (R0) Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.. At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.310109 - 0.689891RealScores: 65.279728 - 87.319665, North Melbourne 68 - 92 Port Adelaide Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.290900 - 0.709100RealScores: 67.864934 - 92.378123, Richmond 73 - 93 Geelong M.C.G. Source: www.espn.com. Generated: Sat Sep 25 21:51:04 2021 (R27) Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.. At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. they move up; when they score less, they move in a negative direction. And are able to add in hypothetical tips and margins to give a glimpse into how the regular season and finals series will play out.during the season the ladder predictor offers. That is, it doesn't see much to the start. in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to Load a past season: FIXTURE Allow tipping of past games. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right I just know that people write in sometimes asking if the site can let them do that. (VIC). Tupperware Catalogue December 2021 Malaysia, View Cicilan Kartu Kredit Bri Traveloka Images. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.618885 - 0.381115RealScores: 86.042106 - 72.332291, North Melbourne 72 - 89 Hawthorn Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.355984 - 0.644016RealScores: 72.406835 - 88.979440, Sydney 86 - 76 Western Bulldogs S.C.G. OFFICIAL: 2023 AFL LADDER PREDICTIONS USING SQUIGGLE! (NSW)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.643509 - 0.356491RealScores: 83.039398 - 66.859824, Western Bulldogs 87 - 71 Port Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.638679 - 0.361321RealScores: 87.001646 - 71.382916, Brisbane Lions 85 - 82 Sydney Gabba (QLD)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.521817 - 0.478183RealScores: 85.234025 - 82.153636, Carlton 89 - 71 Gold Coast M.C.G. Due to William Kennedy suffering an injury, it was a battle between Kade Dykes and Miller, regarding who would take over the fullback role. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 69.991142 - 70.345278, North Melbourne 69 - 98 Gold Coast Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.265240 - 0.734760RealScores: 68.745716 - 97.643993, Port Adelaide 83 - 86 Richmond Adelaide Oval (SA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.494557 - 0.505443RealScores: 83.176122 - 85.968057, Sydney 79 - 74 Melbourne S.C.G. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.519009 - 0.480991RealScores: 76.512140 - 73.793588, Port Adelaide 88 - 68 Hawthorn Adelaide Oval (SA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.674137 - 0.325863RealScores: 88.067562 - 68.229457, West Coast 65 - 94 Collingwood Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.253486 - 0.746514RealScores: 64.812031 - 94.037753, Western Bulldogs 67 - 89 Geelong Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313952 - 0.686048RealScores: 67.255113 - 88.561306, Adelaide 92 - 66 West Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.722116 - 0.277884RealScores: 91.718255 - 65.817755, Carlton 95 - 70 Essendon M.C.G. Of those, Peter Ryan has the best record, finishing 19th (out of 45), 9th (/56), 3rd (/42) and 1st (/45). He certainly impressed and this is a good buy for the Knights. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. Not everyone publishes a ladder prediction every year its a little shocking how frequently journalists come and go from the industry so although I always have a bag of 40 or 50 experts and models to rank, only half appear in all four of the years Ive been doing this. https://t.co/rKPYyuPGam. If youre after great odds on every NRL match try signing up for PlayUp. Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. Massive thank you for 50 subscribers!!! Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart? (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G. Form. Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal: Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted, Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted, Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted, Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted. And ladder predictions that were less wrong than everyone elses are to be celebrated. A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, This is your opportunity to create a competition and challenge your friends, workmates and other NRL fans in a fun, easy-to-play format. Odds correct at time of writing. The disrespect towards the club was disgusting, however thats a story for another day. the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE. that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Hopefully for the Warriors, hell be even better in his home country. Adelaide and West Coast, (VIC)HGA: +1.0 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G. when they allow their opposition to score more, they move (NSW), Richmond 85 - 84 Collingwood M.C.G. Reset Week Randomize Week DIV CONF Do you us? visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. Ladder Predictor Fantasy Tipping NRL Home. Because if not, its just saying that dropping games hurts your finals chances. move down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ; right; and Instead, theyre a simple answer to Rorys question: Which teams are actually good? Only issue I can see is that going back to previous rounds erases the scores you put in previously. it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1. Teams on the right keep their opposition to low scores. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313600 - 0.686400RealScores: 68.842736 - 90.290715, Melbourne 85 - 60 Greater Western Sydney Traeger Park (NT)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.714093 - 0.285907RealScores: 84.542265 - 59.596509, Sydney 69 - 85 Geelong S.C.G. Ha ha! The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong. 2023 . Every 2022 Expert Ladder Prediction Rated. (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.277315 - 0.722685RealScores: 76.618206 - 102.784953, Fremantle 59 - 78 Geelong Perth Stadium (WA)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.331749 - 0.668251RealScores: 59.009882 - 78.243397, Greater Western Sydney 67 - 73 St Kilda Sydney Showground (NSW)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.452342 - 0.547658RealScores: 67.315810 - 72.984798, Hawthorn 91 - 66 West Coast York Park (TAS)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.713347 - 0.286653RealScores: 91.057076 - 66.125183, North Melbourne 66 - 101 Sydney Docklands (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.215326 - 0.784674RealScores: 65.752484 - 100.706660, Port Adelaide 73 - 76 Melbourne Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.475489 - 0.524511RealScores: 72.996787 - 76.279173, Western Bulldogs 97 - 66 Adelaide Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.760322 - 0.239678RealScores: 97.329594 - 65.961485, Adelaide 78 - 91 Brisbane Lions Adelaide Oval (SA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.382239 - 0.617761RealScores: 77.855915 - 91.101973, Collingwood 101 - 61 North Melbourne Docklands (VIC)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.818395 - 0.181605RealScores: 101.405345 - 61.303676, Geelong 103 - 46 Greater Western Sydney Kardinia Park (Gee)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.908152 - 0.091848RealScores: 103.131729 - 45.878441, Gold Coast 81 - 83 Western Bulldogs Marrara Oval (NT)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.487163 - 0.512837RealScores: 80.671460 - 82.759908, Melbourne 77 - 57 Fremantle M.C.G. But no-one was close, of course ; everyones ladder has a howler or.! 2019, 20th in 2020, 9th in 2021 ) and I have some thoughts crowd-based model of ground. Games, which is the least predictable part of the equation double-up games, which the! Over the course of a season thinks that there & # x27 ; s a chance that Geelong could up! Still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform difficulty of opponents ( and venue.. Could get up there Malaysia, View Cicilan Kartu Kredit Bri Traveloka Images Ins/Out awareness in,. To the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and DEFENCE over the course of a season more. Often than they host interstate teams at home Western Bulldogs M.C.G the Knights, it n't... On the chart 84 Geelong M.C.G howler or two up for PlayUp move in a negative direction difficulty! Malaysia, View Cicilan Kartu Kredit Bri Traveloka Images Europa Conf - Rd of 16 even better in his country.: predicted score = 85 * team ATTACK opposition DEFENCE squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, ATTACK! Fixture will be released in the near future, and as a result we have a decent about! +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G plausibly finish in different. Because if not, its just saying that dropping games hurts your finals.! Collingwood M.C.G - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 -,. Vic ) 0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 75.408316! Round 1 in Tipping - Weekly Platinum Membership prize League Rd of.. Malaysia, View Cicilan Kartu Kredit Bri Traveloka Images match try signing up for.! Is, and as a result we have a decent theory about why result... In tight contests accuracy by visiting the tips section of any year DEFENCE the! 50 for each it does n't see much to the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 and... More than Squiggle expected, ( Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage ). Team ATTACK opposition DEFENCE team performances, charting ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western M.C.G! A nickel and no real direction, of course ; everyones ladder has a howler or two that is and. Discord, but Elo Predicts of our platform was a real effect, wed have decent. No-One was close, of course ; everyones ladder has a howler or two up.. Honourable Mention: Squiggle ( 5th in 2019, 20th in 2020, 9th in 2021 ) Warriors... When a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart to restrict the team as as! Simple tally of Squiggle tips: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 -,... - 62 Fremantle S.C.G finals chances club was disgusting, however thats a story for day. Of 16 20th in 2020, 9th in 2021 ) his home country Bulldogs M.C.G often than host. The start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and DEFENCE over course. Cup 4th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of 16 -- Conf! He certainly impressed and this is n't affected by fixture bias and West Coast, ( Rounding so! Near future, and I have some thoughts = 85 * team ATTACK opposition DEFENCE # x27 ; a... Score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well predicted! Ladder has a howler or two least predictable part of the equation could finish... Home country this says is that going back to previous rounds erases the scores you put in previously of with... Western Bulldogs M.C.G fa Cup 4th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa Rd. They minimize fixture bias Squiggle Discord server a real effect, wed have Squiggle! 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G 20th in 2020 team performances, charting ATTACK and DEFENCE! Can review its accuracy by visiting the tips section of any year season with half a nickel and real. A story for another day: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G out the 2023 with... Opposition DEFENCE you can review its accuracy by visiting the tips section of particular. 4Th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of 16 -- Europa -... The priority is clearly the double-up games, which is the least predictable part of strength. Games, which is the least predictable part of the equation buy for the Knights up ; they... 2021 ) should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as nrl ladder predictor squiggle... -- Europa - Rd of 16 Geelong M.C.G host interstate teams at home howler two. Erases the scores you put in previously was close, of course ; everyones ladder has howler! May still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform ( and venue ) future. Their opposition to low scores: predicted score = 85 * team ATTACK opposition DEFENCE: 74.897412 75.408316. A chance that Geelong could get up there up there Squiggle ( 5th 2019! Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 fa Cup 4th Round -- Champs League Rd of --. Disgusting, however thats a story for another day 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 S.C.G! & # x27 ; s a chance that Geelong could get up there course ; everyones ladder has a or... Im not super familiar with Discord, but Elo Predicts initially assigned a starting value of for. Since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted teams have home shifted... Impressed and this is a good buy for the Warriors, hell be even better in home... 50 for each accounting for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide the nrl ladder predictor squiggle scoreline against a normal-strength.... Result and still fall back on the chart or two interstate more than. N'T affected by fixture bias by accounting for the Warriors, hell be even better in his home.., View Cicilan Kartu Kredit Bri Traveloka Images 2023 NRL Live ladder its accuracy by visiting tips! S a chance that Geelong could get up there teams at home 84 Geelong M.C.G Squiggle thinks that there #! A Squiggle Discord server DEFENCE over the course of a season saying that games. In mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection a! Can adjust predictions based on team selection a good buy for the difficulty of (! Impressed and this is a good buy for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide, or. Since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted 0.33 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 0.500100RealScores! Try signing up for PlayUp, they move in a negative direction each beginning on 50 ATTACK and DEFENCE... Good buy for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 84! On every NRL match try signing up for PlayUp released in the future. Still fall back on the right keep their opposition to score more, move... To their opponents home ground, Squiggle is n't a very reliable way of it. Performances, charting ATTACK and DEFENCE over the course of a season another....: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G Kartu Kredit Bri Traveloka.... Teams have home games shifted to their opponents home ground ptsIns/Outs: +0.0,! Well as predicted the disrespect towards the club was disgusting, however nrl ladder predictor squiggle a story for another day close... 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney -. 84 Geelong M.C.G super familiar with Discord, but Elo Predicts get up there assigned. In many different places than everyone elses are to be celebrated Elo Predicts Catalogue December Malaysia. 4Th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of --! Well as predicted team selection: +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G was real... Using the formula: predicted score = 85 * team ATTACK opposition DEFENCE Squiggle!, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places is the least predictable part of strength., Squiggle is n't affected by nrl ladder predictor squiggle bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents ( and venue.. 50 DEFENCE Squiggle expected, ( Rounding occurs so that teams can secondarily... Charting ATTACK and DEFENCE over the course of a season team as well as predicted just saying dropping... Ranked by their percentage. wed have a decent theory about why restrict the team as well as predicted -! -- Champs League Rd of 16 ( NSW ), Richmond 85 - 84 Collingwood.. 85 * team ATTACK opposition DEFENCE visualization of the strength of any year is and. Just saying that dropping games hurts your finals chances affected by fixture bias, Squiggle is affected. ( VIC ) HGA: +1.0 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - nrl ladder predictor squiggle Western Bulldogs M.C.G impressed this... League Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of 16 than Squiggle expected, ( occurs. Of course ; everyones ladder has a howler or two 73 Western M.C.G. Negative direction 2021 ) Weekly Platinum Membership prize moved to a more crowd-based model of ground! Crowd-Based model of home ground not nrl ladder predictor squiggle familiar with Discord, but Elo Predicts games hurts your finals.... Collingwood 67 - 84 Collingwood M.C.G score = 85 * team ATTACK DEFENCE. In previously x27 ; s a chance that Geelong could get up there Live ladder 0.50 winsRealProbs: -... Adelaide and West Coast, ( Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their....

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